selection · Nobel Prizes
How Nobel Prize winners are selected. Explore the context, source evidence and related Nobel Prize coverage.
Nomination rules
Current nomination records are confidential for 50 years. An expert recommendation or a market listing does not establish an official nomination.
An expert list may recommend who deserves a prize. It does not disclose the committee’s confidential shortlist.
Market prices reflect the contracts being traded. Prices, activity and settlement rules matter; a listed name is not an official nominee.
Methodology
Read each source within its own scope. A name appearing in several lists is a useful observation, not a calculated chance of winning.
The responsible prize body receives eligible nominations, evaluates the proposed contributions and decides the recipients. The rules and eligible nominators differ by field; a nomination is not a guarantee of selection.